UKCP18 Climate projections and clay shrink-swell susceptibility
Shrink-swell is recognised as the most significant geohazard across Great Britain. This dataset identifies areas of shrink-swell hazard with increased potential due to changing climatic conditions based on forecasts derived from the UKCP18 climate projections. The dataset has been created at two levels of detail for RCP8.5 emissions scenario and dates up to 2070. The Basic dataset is an overview at 2Km grid resolution whilst the more detailed Premium dataset is generated at a 50m resolution. The Open versions are simplified versions of the premium versions and are shared via BGS GeoIndex. The premium versions are paid for products. UKCP18 - UK Climate Projections 2018 project RCP8.5 - A pathway where greenhouse gas emissions continue to grow unmitigated, leading to a best estimate global average temperature rise of 4.3°C by 2100. Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) are a method for capturing those assumptions within a set of scenarios.
Simple
- Citation identifier
- http://data.bgs.ac.uk/id/dataHolding/13607678
- Point of contact
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Organisation name Individual name Electronic mail address Role British Geological Survey
Enquiries
Distributor British Geological Survey
Enquiries
Originator British Geological Survey
Enquiries
not available
Distributor British Geological Survey
Enquiries
not available
Point of contact
- Maintenance and update frequency
- As needed
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GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0
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BGS Thesaurus of Geosciences
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Climate change
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Precipitation (meteorology)
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Rainfall
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Geohazards
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Shrink-swell clays
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UK Location (INSPIRE)
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Temperature
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Clays
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Shrinkage cracks
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Natural hazards
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- dataCentre
- Keywords
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NERC_DDC
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- Access constraints
- Other restrictions
- Other constraints
- licenceOGL
- Use constraints
- Other restrictions
- Other constraints
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The copyright of materials derived from the British Geological Survey's work is vested in the Natural Environment Research Council [NERC]. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, or stored in a retrieval system of any nature, without the prior permission of the copyright holder, via the BGS Intellectual Property Rights Manager. Use by customers of information provided by the BGS, is at the customer's own risk. In view of the disparate sources of information at BGS's disposal, including such material donated to BGS, that BGS accepts in good faith as being accurate, the Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) gives no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the quality or accuracy of the information supplied, or to the information's suitability for any use. NERC/BGS accepts no liability whatever in respect of loss, damage, injury or other occurence however caused.
- Other constraints
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Available under the Open Government Licence subject to the following acknowledgement accompanying the reproduced NERC materials "Contains NERC materials ©NERC [year]"
- Spatial representation type
- Vector
- Language
- English
- Topic category
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- Geoscientific information
- Geographic identifier
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GBN
ISO 3166_2 2009 revision
- Geographic identifier
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GREAT BRITAIN [id=139600]
British Geological Survey Gazetteer: Geographical hierarchy from Geosaurus 1979 creation
- End date
- 2019 Before
- Unique resource identifier
- OSGB 1936 / British National Grid (EPSG::27700)
- Distribution format
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Name Version
- Distributor contact
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Organisation name Individual name Electronic mail address Role British Geological Survey
Enquiries
Distributor
- Distributor contact
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Organisation name Individual name Electronic mail address Role British Geological Survey
Enquiries
not available
Distributor
- OnLine resource
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Protocol Linkage Name https://www.bgs.ac.uk/geoindex/home.html?src=topNav
- Hierarchy level
- Dataset
- Other
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dataset
Conformance result
- Title
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INSPIRE Implementing rules laying down technical arrangements for the interoperability and harmonisation of Geology
- Date (Publication)
- 2011
- Explanation
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See the referenced specification
- Pass
- No
Conformance result
- Title
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Commission Regulation (EU) No 1089/2010 of 23 November 2010 implementing Directive 2007/2/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council as regards interoperability of spatial data sets and services
- Date (Publication)
- 2010-12-08
- Explanation
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See http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=OJ:L:2010:323:0011:0102:EN:PDF
- Pass
- No
- Statement
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GeoClimate combines current GB subsidence hazard susceptibility, a GB groundwater model and climate change projections, to project future subsidence hazard. Expert BGS Geological Engineers, Groundwater Geologists and GIS specialists collaborated to generate a robust methodology. The datasets utilised and combined in GeoClimate are: -BGS GeoSure shrink-swell: BGS GB dataset providing geological information on potential clay shrink-swell, providing 5 classes from Hazard Rating A (pre-dominantly non-plastic ground conditions) to Hazard Rating E (predominantly very high plasticity ground conditions) -Zooming Object Oriented Distributed Recharge (ZOODRM) model: Provides gridded daily soil moisture deficit (SMD) values for UK, based on inputted rainfall and surface values. -11 RCM UKCP09 climate models: UKCP09 medium emissions scenario was used to force the 11 Regional Climate Model simulations, providing absolute values to input into GeoClimate. The values provided are continuous daily projections from 1950 to 2099. These datasets are used to produce a GeoClimate Volume Change Potential (VCP) score, which is based on the: -A Days in Drought (DiD) value, calculated from the ZOODRM groundwater model and 11RCM projections, -Modified Plasticity Index (IP') values, extracted from the BGS GeoSure Shrink-Swell layer.
Metadata
- File identifier
- b256f87d-0d0f-6c27-e054-002128a47908 XML
- Metadata language
- English
- Hierarchy level
- Dataset
- Date stamp
- 2024-12-07
- Metadata standard name
- UK GEMINI
- Metadata standard version
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2.3
- Metadata author
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Organisation name Individual name Electronic mail address Role British Geological Survey
Point of contact
- Dataset URI